IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
California Baptist
Western Athletic
2019-20

Overall
Predictive Rating	-3.7	#228
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	69.9	#146
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+0.4	#162

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-4.1	#289

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	3.8%	4.3%	2.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.6	14.5	15.3

.500 or above	50.0%	56.5%	28.9%
.500 or above in Conference	48.2%	52.0%	35.8%
Conference Champion	3.1%	3.6%	1.5%
Last Place in Conference	4.8%	3.9%	7.9%

First Four	0.5%	0.4%	0.6%
First Round	3.6%	4.1%	1.8%
Second Round	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Jackson St. (Home) - 76.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 5
Quad 3	2 - 5	3 - 10
Quad 4	11 - 4	14 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 05, 2019	303	Jackson St.	W	73-65	76%
Nov 12, 2019	24	@ Texas	L	61-80	4%
Nov 15, 2019	166	@ California	L	70-76	27%
Nov 22, 2019	284	Central Arkansas	W	82-76	71%
Nov 27, 2019	165	South Dakota	L	73-74	48%
Dec 04, 2019	296	UC Riverside	W	73-66	73%
Dec 07, 2019	106	@ UC Irvine	L	66-77	17%
Dec 14, 2019	326	Bethune-Cookman	W	83-73	80%
Dec 18, 2019	346	Southern	W	77-64	87%
Dec 22, 2019	353	Mississippi Valley	W	83-66	93%
Jan 02, 2020	230	UT Rio Grande Valley	W	77-74	61%
Jan 04, 2020	55	New Mexico St.	L	69-79	19%
Jan 08, 2020	197	@ Cal St. Bakersfield	L	69-73	36%
Jan 11, 2020	137	@ Grand Canyon	L	71-79	24%
Jan 22, 2020	351	Chicago St.	W	86-70	92%
Jan 25, 2020	234	UMKC	W	75-72	60%
Jan 29, 2020	236	@ Utah Valley	L	73-76	41%
Feb 01, 2020	168	@ Seattle	L	70-76	29%
Feb 06, 2020	197	Cal St. Bakersfield	W	72-70	55%
Feb 08, 2020	137	Grand Canyon	L	74-76	43%
Feb 19, 2020	234	@ UMKC	L	72-75	41%
Feb 22, 2020	351	@ Chicago St.	W	83-73	80%
Feb 26, 2020	236	Utah Valley	W	76-73	61%
Feb 29, 2020	168	Seattle	L	73-74	49%
Mar 05, 2020	55	@ New Mexico St.	L	66-82	9%
Mar 07, 2020	230	@ UT Rio Grande Valley	L	74-77	41%
Projected Record						13 - 13	7 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Western Athletic Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st										0.0	0.0	0.2	0.8	1.1	0.6	0.3	0.0		3.1	1st
2nd									0.0	0.4	1.6	3.0	2.8	1.1	0.2				9.0	2nd
3rd								0.0	0.6	3.2	5.1	2.8	0.6	0.0					12.4	3rd
4th							0.0	0.9	5.0	6.2	2.1	0.3							14.5	4th
5th						0.1	1.3	5.2	6.2	2.0	0.2								14.8	5th
6th					0.1	1.9	6.1	5.9	1.7	0.1									15.7	6th
7th			0.0	0.5	2.6	5.6	5.0	1.1	0.1										14.9	7th
8th		0.1	1.3	3.5	5.1	2.5	0.6	0.0											13.2	8th
9th	0.1	0.6	0.9	0.6	0.2	0.0													2.3	9th

Total	0.1	0.7	2.1	4.6	8.0	10.1	13.0	13.2	13.5	11.8	9.0	6.3	4.1	2.3	0.8	0.3	0.0			Total

Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
15-1	100.0%	0.3		0.3	0.0
14-2	77.7%	0.6		0.4	0.2	0.0
13-3	49.0%	1.1		0.6	0.5	0.1
12-4	18.2%	0.8		0.2	0.4	0.2	0.0
11-5	3.6%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0
10-6	0.1%	0.0		0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0
9-7	0.0%	0.0					0.0
8-8	0.0%

Total	3.1%	3.1		1.6	1.2	0.3	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	0.0%		44.4%	44.4%		9.0							0.0					0.0	0.0	0.0				0.0
15-1	0.3%		29.3%	29.3%		12.5									0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.2
14-2	0.8%		27.0%	27.0%		13.1													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0		0.6
13-3	2.3%		19.9%	19.9%		13.6												0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.0	0.0	1.8
12-4	4.1%		14.0%	14.0%		14.2													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.0	3.5
11-5	6.3%		9.8%	9.8%		14.6													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	5.7
10-6	9.0%		6.3%	6.3%		15.0														0.0	0.1	0.3	0.1	8.4
9-7	11.8%		4.1%	4.1%		15.4														0.0	0.1	0.1	0.3	11.3
8-8	13.5%		2.8%	2.8%		15.6															0.0	0.1	0.2	13.1
7-9	13.2%		1.5%	1.5%		15.8															0.0	0.0	0.2	13.0
6-10	13.0%		0.7%	0.7%		15.9																0.0	0.1	12.9
5-11	10.1%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	10.1
4-12	8.0%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	7.9
3-13	4.6%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	4.6
2-14	2.1%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	2.1
1-15	0.7%																							0.7
0-16	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		3.8%	3.8%	0.0%	14.6							0.0		0.0		0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5	0.9	1.1	1.1	96.2		0.0%